Shares of Asian Paints have been painting a modest recovery picture after its Q4 FY25 results announcement. On May 8, when the earnings were declared, the stock closed at ₹2,302. Since then, it's climbed to ₹2,376, showing cautious optimism among investors. But is this enough to regain confidence after months of underperformance? Let's dive deeper! �

📊 Stock Movement Post Earnings: A Mixed Canvas

While the stock has risen 12% from its 52-week low of ₹2,125 (March 4, 2025), Asian Paints still carries the weight of long-term losses. The bigger picture shows:

• 📉 15% decline over the past year
• 📉 24% fall in the last two years
• 📈 Mere 2.5% gain in 2025 (with 3% dip in last two weeks)

On May 12, the stock rose 2.28% to ₹2,353 on the BSE, with trading volume of 0.71 lakh shares. The beta of 0.5 suggests it's been less volatile than the market - a silver lining for risk-averse investors.

💰 Q4 Earnings Snapshot: The Numbers Don't Lie

The quarterly report card showed some concerning figures:

• 📉 45% YoY drop in net profit to ₹692 crore
• 📉 4.3% revenue decline to ₹8,359 crore
• ⚠️ Exceptional losses of ₹182.96 crore from:
  • Indonesian subsidiary divestment (₹83.7 crore)
  • White Teak acquisition impairment (₹77.8 crore)
  • Sri Lanka operations (₹21.5 crore)

Despite the muted performance, the company maintained its dividend tradition, proposing a final dividend of ₹20.55 per share (₹24.8 total for FY25).

📈 Technical Outlook: Reading Between the Lines

The technical indicators present a mixed bag:

• 📊 RSI at 37.2 - Neither overbought nor oversold
• 📉 Trading below most key moving averages (5, 10, 20, 30, 150, 200 days)
• 📈 But above 50-day and 100-day moving averages

This suggests the stock is at a crossroads - the next major move could set the tone for the coming quarters.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. 📈 Always consult a trusted advisor from MBC Trading Platform before making any investment decisions.